Melman on Gold & Silver
February 2013 by Leonard MelmanWell, the year 2013 is now underway and we have surely entered the “Brave New World” that has followed the election of 2012. From my personal point of view, and I might add, unfortunately, this year and the ones following are beginning to appear that they will turn out to be quite similar to the preceding period.
...rising inflation has been perhaps the greatest single positive influence during past golden bull markets, and the fires of inflation, particularly those driven by rising food prices, do appear to be glowing ever brighter.
There is one last indicator that I believe may be the most important of all. That is the “Index of Leading Economic Indicators” (LEI), which is a compendium of those economic indicators that point toward future growth, and LEI has just reached historic highs, far exceeding previous peaks in 1999 and 2006.
What gives this illustration great importance is America may be facing the same kind of dilemmas that have brought Japan’s market such long-term grief.
I find it difficult to recall a period when the world has encountered so many simultaneous threats which “should” have driven gold and silver higher, and yet the precious metals markets—so far—have failed to rally to any significant extent.
Perhaps the first and most important is the fact that the foreign exchange value of the US Dollar has been going down steadily for several months. As the value of the Dollar goes down, the price of goods in Dollar terms tend to go up…
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