Melman on Gold & Silver
December 2016 by Leonard MelmanOn a personal note, very little has bothered me quite as much as the fact that some on the political left are crying “foul” about the fact that Secretary Clinton may have (the outcome is still slightly uncertain at press time) gained more popular votes than the President-elect and therefore the election result is “wrong.”
For “hard money” advocates, this has been a remarkable month. Gold has risen by more than $100, silver has begun to surge, and the headlines are full of news items quite capable of raising public concerns to crisis levels.
The great question now is whether the correction that followed was an end to that bull market—or just a lengthy corrective phase prior to another important bullish move. Let’s turn to technical analysis of the chart for a possible answer.
When we look ahead into 2011, we see continuing troubles such as those listed earlier, which will force the public to question the effectiveness of the entire concept of economic strength and vitality through government interventions. In fact, many of those interventions have been abject failures, and we wonder if or when the public will lose confidence in the entire system.
According to some experts, after the peak is reached, the production rate will slowly decline until it reaches near zero while the price shoots upward. At that point, we will have pretty much mined all the economic ore deposits that are present on the planet.
I hope long-term readers would agree that while your columnist does occasionally carry some arguments to an extreme length, I usually stay within the bounds of reason. I am pointing this out because I was struck by an economic vision a few days ago that could test those bounds.
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