Melman on Gold & Silver
April 2016 by Leonard Melman...the much more important question is this: does this short-term strong rally necessarily portent a genuine turnaround from the metals share bear market that has been ongoing since mid-2011? For a possible answer, we turn to the long-term, five-year XAU chart.
It’s been no secret that the prices of gold and silver have been moving upward at a fast clip in recent months. Gold has soared 27 percent so far this year. There has not been a significant drop-off in production, so it’s been evident that an increase in demand has been a part of the force driving the price upward.
Talk about “déjà vu!” Americans woke up early morning Tuesday, November 6 with a Democratic President; a Senate with a narrow Democratic lead and a House with a strong Republican majority. They went to bed late Tuesday night with a Democratic President; a Senate with a narrow Democratic lead and a House with a strong Republican majority.
If precious metals miners and prospectors were looking for a series of dramatic events to usher in the first two weeks of 2016, they have not been disappointed.
...for the most part, visible price inflation has remained dormant for the most of that period of time. This state of affairs would appear to contradict both monetary history and typical cause and effect reasoning. Even the Fed has expressed some surprise and concern regarding the matter.
While gold’s chart has recently confirmed its short-term negative trend, the intermediate trend remains neutral while gold’s long-term chart is beginning to show some positive indications.
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