Melman on Gold & Silver
July 2015 by Leonard MelmanMany gold and silver observers have been more than slightly concerned regarding the lack of any sustained rally...
Many observers have questioned why the precious metals have not enjoyed strong rallies despite a growing number of positive indicators.
There is little question that the crisis in Europe completely dominated world financial headlines last month. We saw nations such as Finland, Austria, France, Belgium and Hungary, which had previously appeared untouched by developments, suddenly become vulnerable to higher domestic interest rates.
There is one last indicator that I believe may be the most important of all. That is the “Index of Leading Economic Indicators” (LEI), which is a compendium of those economic indicators that point toward future growth, and LEI has just reached historic highs, far exceeding previous peaks in 1999 and 2006.
The Federal Reserve just reported that inflation exceeded their 2% target for the first time in five years and the University of Michigan reported their inflationary expectations have now risen to 2.7%.
Once again last month the world seemed to be tottering uncertainly on the precipice of whether to continue with some manner of austerity in order to begin restoring government balance sheets to some semblance of fiscal conservatism or whether to openly return to the previous eras of wide-open stimulation via debt, deficits and unlimited money creation.
…2017 was just the first year with a small increase after a huge drop off in exploration activity. It may take many years of future increases to get back to where the activity was in 2012, as projected increases in exploration spending are seen to be slow and steady.
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